live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog



Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Nicholls St.

Conference:Slnd
Expected RPI:313.0
Current RPI:313
Expected SOS:282
Current Record:8-23
Expected Record:8-23
Current Conf Record:7-13
Expected Conf Record:7-13
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-10
Current OOC Record:1-10
Expected OOC Record:1-10
Expected OOC RPI:216
Expected OOC SOS:6


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
8-2325.81%313.0100.00%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Nicholls St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-15Florida St. (82.0)ACCA109-62L0%0.0
11-22Hawaii (80.0)BWA99-74L0%0.0
11-25New Mexico (141.0)MWCA75-63L0%0.0
12-10San Diego St. (41.0)MWCA84-47L0%0.0
12-14North Texas (295.0)CUSAA78-60L0%0.0
12-16SMU (13.0)AmerA86-42L0%0.0
12-18Colorado (35.0)P12A85-68L0%0.0
12-22Hampton (155.0)MEACN81-84W100%0.0
12-23Canisius (220.0)MAACN83-74L0%0.0
12-28Houston (87.0)AmerA76-49L0%0.0
1-2Lamar (337.0)SlndH67-79L0%0.0
1-5Memphis (139.0)AmerA82-46L0%0.0
1-9Abilene Christian (321.0)SlndH63-62W100%0.0
1-13Houston Baptist (224.0)SlndA78-69L0%0.0
1-16Texas A&M Corpus Chris (84.0)SlndA76-71L0%0.0
1-18Sam Houston St. (178.0)SlndA87-76L0%0.0
1-23Central Arkansas (339.0)SlndH83-94L0%0.0
1-25Northwestern St. (344.0)SlndH80-88L0%0.0
1-30Incarnate Word (163.0)SlndA68-61L0%0.0
2-1New Orleans (343.0)SlndA74-53L0%0.0
2-6McNeese St. (341.0)SlndH71-56W100%0.0
2-8Incarnate Word (163.0)SlndH71-60W100%0.0
2-13Southeastern Louisiana (331.0)SlndA69-61L0%0.0
2-20Stephen F. Austin (61.0)SlndH53-88L0%0.0
2-22Northwestern St. (344.0)SlndA81-67L0%0.0
2-27McNeese St. (341.0)SlndA71-69L0%0.0
2-29New Orleans (343.0)SlndH80-76W100%0.0
3-3Central Arkansas (339.0)SlndA64-68W100%0.0
3-5Southeastern Louisiana (331.0)SlndH64-45W100%0.0
3-9McNeese St. (341.0)SlndN90-94W100%0.0
3-10Sam Houston St. (178.0)SlndN60-59L0%0.0